Senior Product Manager (Prediction Markets)

Role Description

Prediction markets are one of Phantom's top priorities, and the category is still wide open. The interfaces everyone uses today are not the end state. As a Senior Product Manager on the Predictions team, you'll shape what trading on real-world events should feel like, from five-minute crypto markets to live sports, politics, and culture.

You'll start with something most prediction products spend years building: more than 20 million people who already hold and trade their money in Phantom, tokens, perps, and stablecoins in the same app. We're looking for someone with the creativity to use that, the judgment to decide what matters, and the drive to see it through without waiting to be asked.

Responsibilities

• Define how Phantom wins in a competitive market. Build on our funded user base, crypto infrastructure, and existing trading products to make discovering, funding, and trading predictions simpler and more connected.

• Own the prediction markets experience end to end, from discovery to payout.

• Sweat the design details with our designers. Make trading simpler for someone placing a first prediction and more powerful for someone placing their fiftieth of the day.

• Build a team that stays close to traders. Talk to them every week, read support tickets, and dogfood every build. Turn what you learn into roadmap decisions, and make these habits part of how the team works.

• Make every trade trustworthy. Own trade execution, position and PnL accuracy, and clear market resolution, so traders can rely on every number on the screen.

• Own market discovery and retention. Decide which markets we list and feature, how we surface live events, and how personalization, notifications, and social features give traders reasons to return.

• Make the calls. Decide what to build, what to cut, and when something is ready to ship, often with incomplete information, and own the outcome.

• Collaborate closely with engineering, design, data, marketing, legal, and our exchange and liquidity partners to ship in a regulated category. Set shared goals and report progress every week, including what isn't working.

Qualifications

• 5+ years as a full-time Product Manager or founder, including a consumer product you owned end to end and grew through measurable improvements in adoption, retention, or revenue.

• You trade yourself (prediction markets, perps, crypto, or something more exotic) and have strong opinions about which products do it well. Comfortable reasoning about order books, liquidity, pricing, and settlement.

• Original product thinking, with a record of turning what you learned from users into something new that people adopted.

• Strong design sensibility. You can point to work where you made something simpler without taking power away from the people who wanted it.

• You stay close to users and use AI agents and data to test what you hear, investigate product performance, and measure whether your decisions worked.

• You pick up problems without being asked and see them through. You know when to gather more evidence and when to make a call.

• A close collaborator. You can lead engineering, design, legal, and marketing without formal authority, and you're technical enough to work through exchange, onchain, and data integrations in detail.

• Bonus points if you have:

  • Worked at a prediction market, sportsbook, exchange, or brokerage.

  • Built something on crypto rails that could not have been built without them.

  • Built real-time, live-event, or high-frequency trading products.

• Build for global impact: Create products used by tens of millions of people, making innovative financial markets more accessible to users around the world.

Benefits (only available to full-time employees)

• Competitive salary and equity

• Comprehensive insurance (medical/dental/vision): base plan 100% covered

• 401(k) retirement plan

• Wellness stipend

• Weekly meal stipend

• Learning & Development stipend

• Remote / WFH set-up stipend